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Low Back Pain

GMJ News knowledge hub · last reviewed September 2026 · Georgian Medical Journal

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Low back pain — defined as pain below the costal margin and above the inferior gluteal folds — is the number one cause of disability globally (years lived with disability), affecting an estimated 619 million people worldwide in 2020 and projected to reach 843 million by 2050, causing enormous loss of productivity, quality of life and healthcare expenditure across all countries, income levels and occupations (WHO 2023). Despite its staggering burden, over 85% of low back pain episodes are non-specific — meaning no identifiable structural cause on imaging — and evidence consistently shows that active management (staying active, physiotherapy, cognitive behavioural therapy) outperforms bed rest, imaging and early surgical referral, with imaging in non-specific LBP potentially causing harm by identifying incidental degenerative changes that fuel unnecessary procedures and unhelpful catastrophising.

Key messages

#1 cause of global disability — 619M people
Low back pain is the single leading cause of years lived with disability (YLD) globally, affecting 619 million people in 2020 (projected 843 million by 2050). It causes more disability than any other condition worldwide (WHO 2023).
85% is non-specific — imaging usually unhelpful
Over 85% of low back pain has no identifiable structural cause on imaging. Routine X-ray/MRI for non-specific LBP is not recommended (NICE, WHO) — it identifies incidental degenerative changes unrelated to current symptoms, drives unnecessary procedures, and increases catastrophising and disability.
Stay active — bed rest worsens outcomes
The most evidence-based message for acute non-specific LBP: stay active, avoid bed rest. Prolonged rest leads to deconditioning, muscle weakness and psychological fear-avoidance — all of which worsen outcomes. Most acute LBP (90%) resolves in 6-12 weeks regardless of treatment.
Red flags — must not miss
Cauda equina syndrome (bilateral leg weakness/numbness, bowel or bladder dysfunction, saddle anaesthesia) is a surgical emergency requiring immediate MRI and decompression. Other red flags: vertebral fracture (major trauma/osteoporosis + fall); spinal infection (fever, IV drug use, immunosuppression); cancer (unexplained weight loss, previous malignancy, age >50 with constant progressive pain).
CBT and physiotherapy — the evidence-based treatments
For chronic LBP (>12 weeks): cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT) is the most evidence-based treatment; physiotherapy (exercise-based); interdisciplinary pain programmes. Paracetamol has limited benefit; NSAIDs provide modest short-term relief; opioids should NOT be used for chronic non-specific LBP. Antidepressants (duloxetine) have modest evidence.
LBP is biopsychosocial — not just structural
The biopsychosocial model: LBP is driven by biological (structural), psychological (catastrophising, fear-avoidance, depression, anxiety) and social factors (workplace satisfaction, socioeconomic status, compensation claims). Psychological factors are stronger predictors of chronification than structural imaging findings.

Key statistics

619M
people with low back pain globally (GBD 2020)
GBD/WHO 2023
#1
cause of years lived with disability (YLD) globally
WHO/GBD 2023
843M
projected LBP cases by 2050 without prevention
GBD 2023
>85%
of LBP episodes are non-specific (no identifiable structural cause)
WHO/NICE
90%
of acute LBP resolves within 6-12 weeks regardless of treatment
WHO
EMERGENCY
cauda equina syndrome = bilateral weakness/bowel/bladder → immediate MRI + surgery
WHO/NICE

Low back pain — burden by global region (years lived with disability, GBD 2020)

Source: GBD/WHO 2020. LBP burden is universal — no region spared; rising in LMICs with ageing and occupational change.

Glossary of key terms

Non-specific low back pain
WHO/NICE
LBP with no identifiable specific pathological cause (no herniated disc, fracture, infection, cancer, inflammatory arthritis — all of which together account for approximately 15% of LBP). Non-specific LBP is a symptom, not a diagnosis — the term is more accurate than "mechanical LBP" which implies a mechanical structure causing pain, which is often not demonstrated.
Cauda equina syndrome (CES)
WHO/Surgery
Compression of the cauda equina nerve roots — the bundle of nerves below the spinal cord — from massive disc herniation, tumour, haematoma or abscess. Medical/surgical emergency: treatment delay beyond 24-48 hours increases risk of permanent neurological deficit. Symptoms: bilateral leg weakness/numbness; bladder dysfunction (urinary retention — most sensitive sign); bowel incontinence; saddle anaesthesia (numbness in the perineum, inner thighs, genitalia). Immediate MRI + emergency surgical decompression.
Fear-avoidance model
WHO/Pain psychology
A key model explaining LBP chronification: acute pain → catastrophising (interpreting pain as highly threatening) → fear of movement (kinesiophobia) → avoidance of activity → disuse and deconditioning → disability and depression → maintains/worsens pain. Breaking the cycle: graded exposure, reassurance about safety of movement, CBT — rather than rest and passive treatments.
Yellow flags
WHO/NICE
Psychosocial factors predicting chronification and disability in LBP (originally from New Zealand guidelines): catastrophising about pain; fear-avoidance beliefs; passive coping strategies; negative job satisfaction; expectation that pain won't improve; high anxiety or depression; social reinforcement of pain behaviour. Screening for yellow flags (STarT Back Tool) guides management — those with high psychosocial burden benefit most from CBT and psychologically-informed physiotherapy.
Imaging in non-specific LBP
WHO/Radiology
NICE and WHO recommend AGAINST routine imaging (X-ray, MRI) for non-specific LBP without red flag features. Evidence: 90% of people >50 years have degenerative changes on imaging without any back pain — these are incidental findings. Labelling incidental findings increases catastrophising, fear-avoidance and disability. Imaging is indicated for: red flags; failure to progress after 4-6 weeks; unexplained neurological signs; before surgery.
Spinal surgery for LBP
NICE/Lancet
Evidence for spinal surgery (discectomy, fusion, decompression) in non-specific LBP is generally poor — no better than intensive physiotherapy or cognitive behavioural therapy at 1-2 years, with surgical risks. Surgery has clear indications: cauda equina syndrome; progressive neurological deficit; radiculopathy (sciatica) unresponsive to conservative treatment for 6-8 weeks; spinal stenosis causing neurogenic claudication. NICE and WHO do not recommend spinal fusion for non-specific chronic LBP.

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