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Thyroid Cancer

GMJ News knowledge hub · last reviewed September 2026 · Georgian Medical Journal

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Thyroid cancer — with 586,202 new cases in 2020 — is the most rapidly rising cancer incidence of any major malignancy, though this rise is partially attributable to overdiagnosis of small indolent papillary cancers detected incidentally on ultrasound (IARC GLOBOCAN 2020). Over 85% of thyroid cancers are papillary carcinoma — with an excellent prognosis (10-year survival >95%) when treated with surgery, radioactive iodine and TSH suppression. The minority of cases — medullary (RET mutations, MEN2) and anaplastic thyroid carcinoma (universally fatal, median survival 3-5 months without treatment) — represent the most challenging ends of the thyroid cancer spectrum.

Key messages

586K cases — fastest rising cancer incidence
Thyroid cancer has the fastest rising incidence of any major cancer over 30 years — from approximately 120,000 new cases in 1990 to 586,202 in 2020. A substantial proportion of this rise reflects overdiagnosis of small incidental papillary cancers detected on ultrasound (IARC GLOBOCAN 2020).
Over 85% are papillary — excellent prognosis
Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) comprises over 85% of thyroid cancers, with a 10-year survival exceeding 95% when properly treated. PTC is largely a curable cancer.
Four types — vastly different biology
Four main types: papillary (>85% — slow-growing, curable); follicular (~10% — haematogenous spread, RAI-responsive); medullary (~3% — calcitonin-secreting, RET mutations, MEN2 syndromes); anaplastic (<2% — universally fatal, median survival 3-5 months).
Radioactive iodine — unique treatment
Differentiated thyroid cancers (papillary, follicular) are treated with thyroidectomy followed by radioactive iodine (RAI/I-131) ablation — exploiting thyroid cells' unique ability to concentrate iodine. TSH suppression with levothyroxine completes treatment.
RET mutations drive medullary cancer
Medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) arises from parafollicular C-cells. Approximately 25% are hereditary — caused by germline RET mutations (MEN2A, MEN2B, familial MTC). Vandetanib and cabozantinib are approved for progressive MTC. Prophylactic thyroidectomy in RET mutation carriers prevents MTC.
Anaplastic — an emergency
Anaplastic thyroid carcinoma (ATC) — universally fatal, median survival 3-5 months — requires immediate specialist evaluation. The BRAFV600E mutation is present in approximately 40-50%; dabrafenib + trametinib (BRAF/MEK inhibitors) achieves responses in BRAF-mutated ATC and has transformed a once-untreatable emergency.

Key statistics

586K
new thyroid cancer cases/year (2020)
IARC GLOBOCAN
>95%
10-year survival for papillary thyroid cancer
ESMO/ATA
5x
increase in thyroid cancer incidence over 30 years
IARC
3-5mth
median survival for anaplastic thyroid cancer without treatment
ESMO
~25%
of MTC cases are hereditary (RET mutations)
ESMO
3:1
female to male ratio in thyroid cancer
IARC

Thyroid cancer types by frequency and 10-year survival — ATA/ESMO

Source: ATA/ESMO. Papillary dominates incidence but has excellent prognosis; anaplastic is rare but invariably fatal.

Glossary of key terms

Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC)
ATA/ESMO
The most common thyroid cancer — slow-growing, often multifocal, with lymph node metastases common but rarely life-threatening. BRAF V600E mutation in approximately 60%. Treated with thyroidectomy (total or lobectomy for low-risk), RAI ablation for higher-risk disease, and TSH suppression.
Radioactive iodine (RAI/I-131)
ATA/WHO
Radioactive iodine-131 — taken orally — is concentrated by remnant thyroid tissue and metastases, delivering targeted radiation. Used for post-surgical thyroid remnant ablation and treatment of RAI-avid metastases. The unique ability of thyroid cells to take up iodine makes RAI one of the most targeted cancer treatments in medicine.
Medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC)
ATA/ESMO
Arises from parafollicular C-cells — not thyroid follicular cells. Produces calcitonin (the tumour marker). Approximately 25% are hereditary — RET germline mutations in MEN2A (pheochromocytoma + primary hyperparathyroidism), MEN2B (pheochromocytoma + marfanoid habitus, mucosal neuromas), or familial MTC. Treated with total thyroidectomy; no RAI response; kinase inhibitors for progressive/metastatic disease.
Vandetanib and cabozantinib
FDA/ESMO
Kinase inhibitors approved for progressive/symptomatic metastatic MTC: vandetanib (targets RET, VEGFR, EGFR — FDA 2011); cabozantinib (RET, VEGFR2, MET — FDA 2012 for progressive MTC; 2019 for radioiodine-refractory DTC). Both approved for unresectable locally advanced or metastatic MTC.
Lenvatinib and sorafenib
FDA/EMA
Multi-kinase inhibitors approved for radioiodine-refractory differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC — papillary/follicular not responsive to RAI, with progressive disease): lenvatinib (targets VEGFR 1-3, FGFR, PDGFR, RET, KIT — SELECT trial); sorafenib (targets VEGFR, BRAF — DECISION trial). Both extend PFS in RAI-refractory DTC.
Overdiagnosis controversy
IARC/ATA
The dramatic rise in thyroid cancer incidence is partly (largely, in some countries) due to overdiagnosis — detection of small papillary cancers (<1cm — papillary microcarcinomas) that would never have caused symptoms or death. South Korea's universal thyroid ultrasound screening programme caused a 15-fold increase in thyroid cancer diagnoses with no reduction in thyroid cancer deaths. Active surveillance (watchful waiting without immediate surgery) for low-risk microcarcinomas is increasingly recommended.

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RadiationThyroid disordersGenetic syndromes (MEN2)Rare cancersRadiation protection (iodine)

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