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Influenza

GMJ News knowledge hub · last reviewed September 2026 · Georgian Medical Journal

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Seasonal influenza causes about 1 billion infections every year, including 3–5 million severe cases and 290,000–650,000 respiratory deaths (WHO) — a toll the annual vaccine, updated twice yearly through WHO's 70-year-old Global Influenza Surveillance and Response System (GISRS), keeps in check but never eliminates. The larger shadow is pandemic risk: H5N1 avian influenza has spread through wild birds, poultry and — since 2024 — dairy cattle, with sporadic human cases keeping virologists on alert. Vaccination of health workers, older adults, pregnant women and the chronically ill remains the core defence GMJ News monitors, alongside zoonotic surveillance.

Key messages

Annual burden
Seasonal influenza causes approximately 1 billion infections, 3-5 million severe cases and 290,000-650,000 respiratory deaths every year worldwide (WHO).
Vaccine works
The annual influenza vaccine reduces the risk of illness by 40-60% when well-matched to circulating strains. WHO recommends vaccination for high-risk groups: older adults, pregnant women, healthcare workers, children 6 months-5 years and people with chronic conditions.
GISRS surveillance
WHO's Global Influenza Surveillance and Response System (GISRS) — 70+ years old — monitors circulating strains in real time across 114 countries, informing twice-yearly vaccine strain recommendations for Northern and Southern hemisphere seasons.
Pandemic threat
Influenza A viruses can reassort to produce novel pandemic strains. H5N1 avian influenza has spread globally through wild birds and poultry and, since 2024, dairy cattle — with sporadic human cases raising pandemic preparedness alert levels.
Treatment
Antivirals — primarily oseltamivir (Tamiflu) and baloxavir — reduce severity and duration of influenza when started within 48 hours of symptom onset. They are most critical for hospitalised patients and high-risk groups.
Universal flu vaccine
A universal influenza vaccine — targeting conserved viral proteins that do not change with annual mutation — is a major research priority that would eliminate the need for annual reformulation and improve pandemic preparedness.

Key statistics

1B
infections/year (seasonal)
WHO
290-650K
respiratory deaths/year
WHO
3-5M
severe cases/year
WHO
114
countries in GISRS
WHO
40-60%
vaccine efficacy when well-matched
CDC/WHO
H5N1
avian flu in dairy cattle since 2024
WHO/CDC

Estimated seasonal influenza-associated respiratory deaths/year by WHO region (thousands)

Source: Iuliano et al., Lancet 2018. Estimates have wide uncertainty ranges reflecting surveillance gaps.

Glossary of key terms

Influenza A
WHO
One of the four types of influenza virus — the only type capable of causing pandemics through reassortment of genes between human and animal strains. Subtypes are classified by surface proteins H (haemagglutinin) and N (neuraminidase). Seasonal H1N1 and H3N2 currently circulate.
Antigenic drift
WHO
Gradual accumulation of mutations in influenza surface proteins that allows the virus to partially escape existing immunity. The primary reason influenza vaccines must be updated annually.
Antigenic shift
WHO
A sudden, major change in influenza A surface proteins, typically through reassortment of gene segments between human and animal strains. Produces novel subtypes against which human populations have little or no immunity — the mechanism of pandemic influenza emergence.
GISRS
WHO
Global Influenza Surveillance and Response System — WHO's 70+-year-old network of over 150 national influenza centres in 114 countries. Monitors circulating strains year-round to inform vaccine strain selection for both hemispheres.
Oseltamivir
WHO EML/FDA
An antiviral medicine (Tamiflu) that inhibits influenza neuraminidase, reducing viral replication. Reduces illness duration by approximately 1 day and hospitalisation risk in high-risk groups when started within 48 hours. On the WHO Essential Medicines List.
H5N1
WHO/OIE
A highly pathogenic avian influenza subtype that has circulated in bird populations since 1997. Since 2024, H5N1 has spread to dairy cattle in multiple US states with sporadic human cases. The case fatality rate in detected human cases is approximately 60%, raising pandemic preparedness concerns.

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