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GMJ News > GMJ Briefs > Above-Average Temperatures Expected Through August 2024 as El Niño Persists

Above-Average Temperatures Expected Through August 2024 as El Niño Persists

GMJ
Last updated: 21/06/2026 20:02
By
Prof. Giorgi Pkhakadze
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1 Min Read
Global temperature map showing El Niño heat impacts and health risk zones
The World Meteorological Organization warns that El Niño conditions will drive above-average temperatures, intensifying heatwaves, droughts, and wildfires through August 2024. Health systems must prepare for increased climate-related health emergencies and heat stress impacts on vulnerable populations. — Photo by Alexandre P. Junior on Pexels (Pexels License)
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1 min read|122 words

New forecasts from the World Meteorological Organization confirm that El Niño conditions will maintain above-average global temperatures extending through August 2024, with vulnerable populations facing heightened heat stress risks. This projection builds on existing data showing that climate change already contributes to approximately 250,000 additional deaths annually from malnutrition, malaria, diarrhea, and heat stress, according to the World Health Organization. The continuation of El Niño conditions will amplify these mortality risks during the Northern Hemisphere summer months, when heat-related hospitalizations typically spike. Health systems in affected regions must accelerate their preparedness efforts to manage the anticipated burden of heat-related illnesses and emergency department visits. Understanding this statistical reality is critical for resource allocation and clinical planning in anticipation of climate-driven health emergencies.

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ByProf. Giorgi Pkhakadze
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Prof. Giorgi Pkhakadze, MD, MPH, PhD, is Editor-in-Chief of the Georgian Medical Journal and Chair of the Public Health Institute of Georgia (PHIG). He is Professor and Head of the Department of Social and Behavioural Sciences at David Tvildiani Medical University, and Secretary/Treasurer of the UEMS Section of Public Health. ORCID: 0000-0001-7609-4515.

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